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Mrs. Tarisa
Watanagase, Governor of the Bank of Thailand, announced the lifting of
the unremunerated reserve requirement on short-term capital inflows,
effective 3 March 2008. The details are summarized as follows:
The Bank of Thailand
(BOT) has introduced the unremunerated reserve requirement (URR) on
short-term capital inflows since 18 December 2006 to deter short-term
capital inflows and one-way speculation on the Thai baht that led to
excessive volatility of the Thai baht that might have caused wider
economic instability particularly at the time when domestic demand was
moderating and robust export growth was the main driver of the economy.
The URR measure has
lessened the pressure of baht speculation and been pivotal in ensuring
the baht stability and its movement more in line with regional
currencies. Aware of the adverse effects of the URR measure on financial
costs of businesses that need to raise funds from abroad, the BOT has
therefore relaxed the measure over time. The BOT has also been
communicating consistently the intention to use this measure only
temporarily and to lift it when the situation is appropriate.
After careful
consideration of changes in the environment and factors, the BOT deems
that it is now the appropriate time to lift the URR measure for the
following reasons:
- Economic data
in the fourth quarter of 2007 and January 2008 indicates a healthier
recovery in domestic demand along with continued robust export growth.
Moreover, additional fiscal stimulus by the government that helps boost
confidence will further lend support to the continuation of this
recovery.
- Foreign
exchange inflows/outflows have become more balanced from moderating
trade account surplus in January 2008, increasing amount of Thai
investment abroad, and regulations that permit residents to deposit
foreign currencies effective early February 2008.
- Real sector and
exporters have been adjusting well to the appreciation of the baht
through a much greater amount of foreign exchange hedging and
improvements in production efficiency, management, and market
diversification.
- The BOT has
more instruments to manage liquidity and the currency under the new Bank
of Thailand Act. In addition, plans by the Ministry of Finance to adjust
the structure and management of public debt along with consideration to
make use of the soon-effective Public Debt Management Act will further
improve the balance of capital flows.
- Recently, there
have been widespread expectations of the lifting of the URR measure and
market participants have adjusted their behaviors in line with these
expectations. This has eroded the effectiveness of the URR measure.
To help manage the
inflows/outflows of capital after the lifting of the URR measure, the
BOT deems appropriate the following supporting measures:
1) Encourage
portfolio investment abroad by increasing the foreign investment limit
for the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to USD 30 billion to
allocate to securities companies, mutual fund companies, and individual
investors (through investments with private funds or securities
companies).
2) Improve the
measures to prevent Thai baht speculation
2.1) Revise the
rule for domestic financial institutions to borrow baht from
non-residents by reducing the limit for transactions with no underlying
trade or investment for all maturities to no more than 10 million baht
outstanding balance per group of non-residents so as to limit channels
of speculation.
2.2) Revise the
rules regarding the provision of Thai baht liquidity by domestic
financial institutions to non-residents by expanding each institution'
limits for transactions with no underlying trade or investment to no
more than 300 million baht outstanding balance per groups of
non-residents so as to increase demand for purchases of foreign
currencies and two-way flows.
3) Revise the
structure of Non-resident Baht Account (NRBA) by segregating into
Non-resident Baht Account for Securities (NRBS) and Non-resident Baht
Account (NRBA) so as to help monitor fund flows of non-residents. Under
the new structure, the transfer of baht between the same types of
accounts is allowed while the transfer between different types of
account is prohibited.
To support the
adjustment and improve the production efficiency of SMEs, the BOT has
launched the following temporary supportive programs:
1. Program to
support production efficiency improvement of SMEs by providing soft
loans through financial institutions totaling 40,000 million baht for a
period of three years.
2. Facility to
purchase (back-to-back) foreign currency that SMEs sold forward to
financial institutions for a period of 6 months.
The BOT is confident
that the implementation of the aforementioned measures under the managed
float regime will ensure that the Thai baht moves in line with economic
fundamentals without excessive volatility.
The notification of
the lifting of the URR measure, the rules for the non-resident baht
account, and the circulation letter on the measures to prevent Thai baht
speculation can be viewed at
www.bot.or.th
under the "Highlights" Section. Further information can be obtained at
+49 2-283-6000.
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