|
Section:
Economy - Thailand 's economic fundamentals remain sound despite
political tensions, which are regarded as signs of the country's
political evolution and part of its democratic process.
According to the Bank of Thailand, the decline in oil prices and
inflationary pressure is currently a positive factor supportive to the
country's economic expansion. Exports have grown at a satisfactory
level, amounting to 16.8 billion US dollars in July, when imports rose
to 17.5 billion dollars. The manufacturing sector expanded by 11 percent
against the figure during the same period last year.
Apart
from the slowdown in the global economy, the central bank cited
the present political situation in Thailand as the only risk factor
affecting the growth of the Thai economy. However, the magnitude
of the political impact on economic confidence would be closely
monitored.
The
Thai economy during the second half of this year is expected to grow
by more than 5 percent, with an inflation rate of about 6 percent. Both
private investment and international trade are likely to increase but at
a low level. Based on the economic assessment, the Government was urged
to maintain domestic purchasing power to prevent impacts from higher
costs of living on low-income earners. It has been suggested that
relevant agencies maintain Thailand 's export markets and ensure
liquidity in the monetary system. Financial institutions should play a
greater role in extending credit for small and medium-sized enterprises.
According to the Office of the National Economic and Social Development
Board, the Thai economy in the second quarter of 2008 expanded by
5.3 percent, down from 6.1 percent recorded in the first quarter. In the
first half of this year, the economic growth registered at 5.7 percent.
The
Thai economy for the whole year of 2008 is expected to expand by 5.2
to 5.7 percent, with a downward trend in the second half of the year
because of export deceleration, compared with the first half. Moreover,
private expenditure and investment are unlikely to recover fully as a
result of high oil prices and high inflation. Consumer and business
confidence is likely to remain weak because of higher production costs
and political uncertainties.
Key risk
factors requiring well-managed measures include impacts from the global
downturn on exports, narrowing current account surplus, higher costs of
living, the efficiency of energy use, and the stability of agricultural
prices.
Supporting factors contributing to economic growth in the second half
include tax stimulus policies, budget disbursement acceleration, rising
farm income due to an increase in production, low unemployment rate, low
interest rates, and the continued export expansion.
(Public
Relations Department: 3 September 2008)
4
September 2008
Thai News Service
(c) 2008
Thai News Service
|